Chicago Metro Property Search

Your Source For Relevant Real Estate Information
Welcome to Chicago Metro Property Search Sign in | Help

The State of The Chicago Real Estae Market--How to Profit In a Falling Market

  • Berwyn's Appeal Grows due to location and affordability

    Berwyn steps out of the shadow of its neighbors

    Having recently celebrated its centennial, Berwyn is taking stock as newcomers cast an eye toward a "hidden gem." Home buyers who work in Chicago but cannot afford to buy there are finding that Berwyn is a viable option. The city's iconic bungalows provide a great value for the buck.

    By Web Behrens

    Special to the Tribune

    May 22, 2009

    Click here to find out more!

    The stars must've been aligned for Ann Filmer when she moved to Berwyn two years ago. In addition to finding a comfortable, affordable home in this nearby suburb, she found a new job in a community ready to embrace her talents.

    Filmer and her husband, Barry Bennett, are both professional artists: She's a theater director; he's a musician. After years of plying their trades in Chicago, the couple had a daughter and started looking for a house. They cast their gaze from Humboldt Park to the suburbs, quickly ruling out Oak Park and Forest Park as too expensive. "Then there's Berwyn and its beautiful neighborhood of bungalows," Filmer says. "We know a lot of musicians who live in Berwyn," lured there in part by the bungalows' spacious basements, which provide plenty of room for a band to rehearse. Sure enough, the couple found a "great deal" on a house for $225,000 and moved in April 2007.

    "We wanted to invest ourselves in the community," Filmer continues. "I found the Berwyn Arts Council and joined immediately." Then fate kicked in: Filmer learned that the finishing touches were being made to the new Berwyn Cultural Center on 16th Street, including a new 49-seat venue -- but no theater company to occupy it yet. Before the year was out, Filmer had become the founding artistic director of the city's new resident professional company, the aptly named 16th Street Theater. It's already become a bright new spot in Cook County's cultural scene, having been declared the "Best Emerging Theater Company" by the Reader two months ago.

    "It was kismet," Filmer says of the new job following so quickly on the heels of her new home. "Our mission is really to engage our audience and to tell the stories of everyone in our community. We're big on diversity. We're interested in telling your story, and also in telling your neighbor's story."

    To that end, 16th Street's debut in December 2007 was a co-production with Teatro Luna -- a nod to Berwyn's large Hispanic population.

    Filmer shares her residential street with a diverse ethnic mix. Berwyn's melting pot, she notes, also blends generations and professions. "It's a really good mix of people," she says, "which is why we like it. That's the kind of community that thrives."

    "Berwyn is a very diverse community," agrees Joseph Vallez, executive director of the North Berwyn Park District. Although there's no residency requirement for his job, which he assumed eight years ago, he bought a home in Berwyn last year because, he says, it's important to be a part of the community he serves. And Chicago isn't far away, he points out: This suburb of 3.8 square miles is nestled between Interstate Highways 290 and 55, just a 15-minute drive from downtown Chicago.

    Anthony La Monica also praises the geographical convenience. A real estate agent with ReMax in Berwyn, La Monica has almost two decades of experience in the area -- and he's lived here since 1976, when his family moved from Chicago's Little Village neighborhood. "I love its central location," La Monica says. "There are so many ways to get downtown: I can drive down there; I can take the Metra; I can take the CTA."

    Metra's BNSF Railway runs through Berwyn's Depot District, while two CTA "L" lines feed into adjacent suburbs. (Depending on where you live in Berwyn, you can walk north to the Blue Line in Oak Park or east to the Pink Line in Cicero.)

    Beyond diversity and location, Berwyn's affordability makes it increasingly desirable to new homeowners. Prices are a little bit higher than in Cicero, but "way lower than Oak Park," La Monica says. And the city's iconic houses provide a great value for your buck. "Most of these bungalows were built between 1921 and 1929," he continues. "They're all brick structures, supported by the bricks themselves. It's not just cosmetics. These homes have anywhere from 1,000 to 1,300 square feet."

    These multiple factors have led to a new reputation for Berwyn, which throughout the 1980s was best known to many in the Chicago area as merely a bizarre recurring punchline ("BURRR-wyynn!") on the local TV show "Son of Svengoolie." In the wake of an advertising campaign launched in Chicago to lure prospective homeowners, La Monica says his near western suburb has enjoyed "a huge influx of people from [Chicago's] North and Near North Side." The younger residents are lowering Berwyn's median age and further increasing its diversity: "They're not your traditional families with a mother and father and kids and a dog. They're cohabitants of the same sex and stuff like that."

    Crime isn't much of an issue here, according to Police Chief William Kushner. "Violent crime is very, very low," he says, noting that index crimes dropped 2.4 percent in 2008. "We still see a number of garage burglaries. . . . We have a lot of incidents of retail theft; that's because of the shopping center in town." Every community has gang issues, Kushner adds, but in Chicago, that could mean drive-by shootings. "Coming here, a gang problem is gang graffiti on a garage," he says -- and the city has two trucks equipped with power washers to clean the graffiti away.

    Kushner, who spent 29 years with the Chicago Police Department before taking this job three years ago, still lives in nearby Beverly. But he says he and his wife were struck by the friendliness and sense of community in Berwyn: "It's still got, in so many respects, the small-town feel. People know their neighbors, they talk to their neighbors."

    In his park district job, Vallez and his staff are trying to combat gang issues by increasing after-school programs that help keep kids off the street.

    "The community transitioned in the past eight years," he says. "You now have families with single parents, or both parents working one or two jobs."

    The park district can help by picking up the slack -- and, in keeping with the values of the city's increasingly progressive population, they've made a point to include arts programming in the mix.

    "When you look at the positive aspects of arts in a child's development, those [programs] are very important. As I say, not every kid is a baseball player or a football player," says Vallez.

    Which isn't to say sports get neglected: The park district has recently built a skate park and a new soccer field.

    Effects of the recession can be seen in Berwyn. Vallez says he feels it "from an organizational point of view with families saying, 'We have to pull our child out of preschool,' or 'Can you give us a reduced rate?' " Meanwhile, some stores have shuttered up. One of its main business districts -- the Roosevelt Road corridor, which Berwyn shares with Oak Park -- is undergoing an infrastructure overhaul, with some stores taking advantage of TIF funds to make improvements. In the short term, all the construction is causing traffic issues, but the massive project is a promissory note for the future.

    "Berwyn is a hidden gem," Vallez says. "While [some areas] might not be thriving right now, it will certainly be thriving in the future."

    var s_account = "tribglobal"; =0)document.write(unescape('%3C')+'\!-'+'-') //--> DM_addEncToLoc("Site", (s.server)); DM_addEncToLoc("channel", (s.channel)); DM_addEncToLoc("keyword", (s.prop3)); DM_cat(s.hier1); DM_tag();
  • Buyers can now Monetize the $8,000 buyer tax credit to use as a down payment!

     

    Please click on the below link to get the details...or call us for assistance:

     

    http://www.chicagorealtor.com/displaycommon.cfm?an=1&subarticlenbr=875

  • Is the Housing Crisis Really a Crisis?

    Click this link for an interesting video clip on this subject:

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=780461999 

     

  • Existing Home Sales Decouple From New Home Sales

    Housing Needs New Sales to Find Bottom

    • The housing market is giving new meaning to the phrase "beggar thy neighbor."

    The Commerce Department Monday reports September new-home sales. Economists estimate they slowed to an annualized pace of 455,000 units from 460,000 in August. Three years ago the pace was at about 1.2 million.

    [New-home sales, seasonally adjusted at an annual rate]

    Friday brought news of a surprising gain in home resales in September. But up to 40% of home resales these days are foreclosures or "short sales," in which the mortgage balance is higher than the home's value, according to the National Association of Realtors. Such sales drag down the prices of other homes and pull more mortgage-holders underwater.

    This phenomenon has led to an oddly bifurcated housing market, in which existing-home sales have built a bottom, while new-home sales haven't stopped drilling their way to the center of the earth.

    "New homes have never decoupled from existing homes" before, as "most people that buy a new home have to sell an existing home first," says Ivy Zelman, CEO of Zelman & Associates Housing Research. She expects new-home sales of just 410,000 next year, the worst pace in a quarter-century.

    This decoupling may be because many of the people buying foreclosed homes -- maybe 50% in some markets -- are investors. Some will rent the houses until the market recovers, further hurting demand for home purchases.

    Until new-home sales find their own bottom, housing won't begin to heal.

    How Low Can Prices in New York Go?

    The buzz in the commercial-property world is whether things will get as bad as they were in the real-estate "depression" of the early 1990s. A new report coming out Monday from Portfolio & Property Research suggests they might.

    Portfolio & Property Research is expected to release a revised forecast Monday that shows 17.6% of New York metro area offices will be empty by the middle of next year. That's the same level as in 1991, when New York tycoons were going broke in a New York minute.

    It's troubling news for already battered New York-area office landlord SL Green Realty, which reports results Monday. Analysts are expecting funds from operations -- a common REIT measure -- to come in at $1.41 a share, compared with $1.25 a year ago, according to SNL Financial.

    SL Green is also a big lender to other landlords, both from its own balance sheet and through its ailing spinoff, Gramercy Capital Corp., in which SL Green has a 22% stake.

    Investors are looking for clarity on the roughly $840 million in loans SL Green made from its balance sheet, as many are mezzanine positions in undisclosed properties.

    The company says it plans to provide more detail on a Tuesday conference call and discounts the vacancy forecast, pointing out that SL Green's portfolio is mostly in Manhattan, where vacancies are lower -- and rents are higher -- than the regional average.

    —Alex Frangos

    Write to Mark Gongloff at mark.gongloff@wsj.com and Alex Frangos at alex.frangos@wsj.com

  • Congress passes Housing Bill, Bush Will Sign.

    WASHINGTON -- U.S. Senate lawmakers on Saturday overwhelmingly passed a broad package of housing legislation, hoping to send a calming message to financial markets and voters amid the ongoing deterioration of the housing market and a growing number of bank failures.

    [Link]1

    Meeting in a rare weekend session, the Senate voted 72-13 in favor of the bill, which includes tax breaks for homeowners, a $300 billion program to refinance loans for struggling borrowers, and a dramatic rescue plan for embattled mortgage finance firms Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Other provisions include an increase in the federal debt limit to $10.6 trillion and long-sought reforms to the Federal Housing Administration.

    The vote completes congressional action on the legislation, which is the result of months of political wrangling and negotiations between the House and Senate, Treasury Department, and other federal regulators. The House voted 272-152 to pass the bill on Wednesday.

    It will now be sent to President George W. Bush, who the White House has said will sign the bill despite voicing earlier misgivings about certain provisions of the legislation.

    Policymakers hope the wide-ranging bill will help invigorate a housing market that continues to collapse and has roiled financial markets worldwide. Data released in recent weeks reveal that home sales have hit a 10-year low and home prices continue to decline around the country. Importantly, the number of homeowners facing foreclosures continues to rise, raising the specter of vacant homes and neighborhood blight.

    Foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac said Friday that 740,000 properties received some form of foreclosure filing in the second quarter, a 14% jump from the previous quarter and soaring 121% from the second quarter of 2007. More breathtaking: One in every 171 households received a filing in the second quarter, and all but five of the nation's 100 largest metro areas experienced year-over-year increases.

    "Behind every one of those numbers is an American family that is wondering if their Congress is going to do something for them," Senate Banking Chairman Christopher Dodd (D., Conn.) said during floor debate Saturday morning.

    The omnibus housing package completed Saturday attempts to deal with the housing crisis on a number of fronts. It includes $180 million for "pre-foreclosure" counseling for cash-strapped homeowners, creates an affordable housing trust fund to increase the supply of rental housing, and would raise the size of loans eligible for purchase by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to 115% of the local area median home price, with a nationwide ceiling of $625,000 for loans.

    The centerpiece of the legislation is a program of up to $300 billion of FHA-insured mortgages to help refinance cash-strapped borrowers into affordable loans. The program would rely on lenders voluntarily writing down the value of a distressed loan for the homeowner to qualify for the new FHA-backed loan, and in return borrowers would have to share future price appreciation with the federal government.

    Lawmakers hope the program will help avert foreclosures, with Democrats estimating it could help up to 400,000 borrowers that now face defaulting on their loans. To encourage lenders to work with borrowers, the legislation also provides some legal protections for mortgage servicers and lenders who modify the terms of loans.

    Also included is an emergency plan authored by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson over the last two weeks to provide a federal backstop for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Hatched in the wake of financial market concerns about the firms' solvency and capital, the plan would expand the $2.25 billion lines of credit the firms have with the Treasury, as well as allow the Treasury to take an equity stake in the government sponsored entities. Importantly, it also gives the Federal Reserve a "consultative" role to work with the firms' new regulator to ensure their safety and soundness.

    It also includes tax relief for future homebuyers and current homeowners. Those buying a home between April of this year and through June of next year would receive a tax credit for 10% of the value of their home, up to $7,500, while current homeowners who do not itemize their tax returns would be able to deduct up to $1,000 for property taxes.

    Other provisions include nearly $4 billion in grant money to state and local governments to buy up and rehabilitate foreclosed homes. Intended to avoid community blight in areas hard hit by foreclosure, the program directs that homes purchased through the program be offered to low- and moderate-income families.

    Write to Michael R. Crittenden at michael.crittenden@dowjones.com2

  • Chicago-area home sales down almost 28% in June

    Chicago-area home sales down almost 28% in June

    (Crain's) — Home sales in the Chicago area fell almost 28% in June, according to the Illinois Assn. of Realtors.

    In the nine-county Chicago region, home and condominium sales totaled 7,656 in June, compared with 10,612 sales in June 2007, the Realtors’ group said in a release Thursday.

    The median home sale price in the Chicago area was $256,000 in June, down 3.3% from June 2007. The median is the price where half the homes sold for more and half sold for less.

    Statewide sales fell 27% in June, to 11,643 homes compared with 15,945 in June 2007, the Realtors’ group said. The median sale price statewide was $200,000, down 6.1% compared with June 2007.

    Chicago-area sales were up 10.5% in June compared with May, according to the release. June’s statewide sales were up 3.6% over May.

    The Realtors’ group's sales figures include new and existing homes. The nine-county Chicago Primary Metropolitan Statistical Area consists of Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Kane, Kendall, Lake, McHenry and Will.

    Also Thursday, the National Assn. of Realtors reported that nationwide sales of existing homes dropped by 2.6% last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.86 million units. That's more than double the expected decline. It leaves sales 15.5% below where they were a year ago.

    The downward slide in sales is depressing prices, too. The nationwide median price for a home sold in June has dropped to $215,100, down by 6.1 percent from a year ago. That was the fifth-largest year-over-year price drop on record.

    The Associated Press contributed to this report.

  • Chicago Home Are more Affordable, but Financing is a Barrier........

    Chicago homes more affordable but still out of reach for many

    (Crain’s) – Homes in the Chicago area have become more affordable in the past year, but tougher lending standards and a languishing economy are keeping homes out of reach for many middle-income buyers.

    An index of home affordability rose to 92.0 in fourth-quarter 2007, up from 87.2 in the third quarter, according to a report by Moody’s Economy.com and Homes for Working Families, a Washington D.C.-based non-profit group that promotes affordability. Falling home prices have helped nudge the index higher, but it has yet to cross the 100 mark — the point at which the market is considered affordable again.

    The index divides the area’s median income by the income needed to qualify for a loan to finance a mid-priced home. Falling prices or rising incomes push the index higher, and vice versa. The bad news is that prospects for income growth are slim given the shaky economy, limiting affordability gains.

    “While one part of the index is moving in the right direction, the other part is not,” says Geoffrey J.D. Hewings, director of the Regional Economics Applications Laboratory at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

    At the same time, getting a home loan has become increasingly difficult, freezing many would-be buyers out of the market.

    Banks “have tightened loan qualifications and imposed increased fees, mortgage rates are higher than they were at the peak of the housing boom and banks have substantially reduced loan-to-price ratios,” the report says.

    Chicago’s affordability index dipped to 84.1 in fourth-quarter 2006, its lowest point in nearly three decades, according to Moody’s Economy.com. Though affordability has increased since then, the index is still well below its 10-year average of 118.5.

    The Chicago index has tracked roughly with a weighted-average index of 40 U.S. metropolitan areas, which rose to 92.4 in the fourth quarter, up from 87.3 in the third.

    California had the five least affordable metro areas, led by San Francisco with a ratio of 40.4, while economically depressed Midwest cites were the most affordable, led by the Detroit market, at 187.0.

    Though falling prices “are improving affordability, prices are still not where they need to be in many metro areas to erase the negative effects of the housing bubble,” the report says.

     

  • Download Latest S&P Case Schiller Index of Top 25 Metro Areas, Chicago is at 2005 Price Points

    Right Click to Download and open.....some very interesting numbers on a wide range of metro areas.

  • Life on the fringes of U.S. suburbia becomes untenable with rising gas costs

    Life on the fringes of U.S. suburbia becomes untenable with rising gas costs
    Tuesday, June 24, 2008

    ELIZABETH, Colorado: Suddenly, the economics of American suburban life are under assault as skyrocketing energy prices inflate the costs of reaching, heating and cooling homes on the outer edges of metropolitan areas.

    Just off Singing Hills Road, in one of hundreds of two-story homes dotting a former cattle ranch beyond the southern fringes of Denver, Phil Boyle and his family openly wonder if they will have to move close to town to get some relief.

    They still revel in the space and quiet that has drawn a steady exodus from U.S. cities toward places like this for more than half a century. Their living room ceiling soars two stories high. A swing-set sways in the breeze in their backyard. Their wrap-around porch looks out over the flat scrub of the high plains to the snow-capped peaks of the Rocky Mountains.

    But life on the distant fringes of suburbia is beginning to feel untenable. Boyle and his wife must drive nearly an hour to their jobs in the high-tech corridor of southern Denver. With gasoline at more than $4 a gallon, Boyle recently paid $121 to fill his pickup truck with diesel. The price of propane to heat their spacious house has more than doubled in recent years.

    Though Boyle finds city life unappealing, it's now up for reconsideration.

    "Living closer in, in a smaller space, where you don't have that commute," he said. "It's definitely something we talk about. Before it was, 'We spend too much time driving.' Now, it's, 'We spend too much time and money driving."'

    As the realization takes hold that rising energy prices are less a momentary blip than a restructuring with lasting consequences, the high cost of fuel is threatening to slow the decades-old migration away from cities, while exacerbating the housing downturn by diminishing the appeal of larger homes set far from urban jobs.

    In Atlanta, Philadelphia, San Francisco and Minneapolis, homes beyond the urban core have been falling in value faster than those within, according to analysis by Moody's Economy.com.

    In Denver, housing prices in the urban core rose steadily from 2003 until late last year compared with previous years, before dipping nearly 5 percent in the past three months of last year, according to Economy.com. But house prices in the suburbs began falling earlier, in the middle of 2006, and then accelerated, dropping by 7 percent the past three months of the year.

    Many factors have propelled the unraveling of U.S. real estate, from the mortgage crisis to a staggering excess of home construction, making it hard to pinpoint the impact of any single force. But economists and real estate agents are growing convinced that the rising cost of energy is a primary factor pushing home prices down in the suburbs - particularly in the outer rings.

    More than three-fourths of prospective homebuyers are more inclined to live in an urban area because of fuel prices, according to a recent survey of 903 real estate agents with Coldwell Banker, a national brokerage.

    Some proclaim the unfolding demise of suburbia.

    "Many low-density suburbs and McMansion subdivisions, including some that are lovely and affluent today, may become what inner cities became in the 1960s and '70s - slums characterized by poverty, crime and decay," said Christopher Leinberger, an urban land use expert, in a recent essay in the Atlantic Monthly.

    Most experts do not share such apocalyptic visions, seeing instead a gradual reordering.

    "It's like an ebbing of this suburban tide," said Joe Cortright, an economist at the consulting group Impresa in Portland, Oregon. "There's going to be this kind of reversal of desirability. Typically, Americans have felt the periphery was most desirable, and now there's going to be a reversion to the center."

    In a recent study, Cortright found that house prices in the urban centers of Chicago, Los Angeles, Pittsburgh, Portland and Tampa have fared significantly better than those in the suburbs. So-called exurbs - communities sprouting on the distant edges of metropolitan areas - have suffered worst of all, Cortright found.

    Basic household arithmetic appears to be furthering the trend: In 2003, the average suburban household spent $1,422 a year on gasoline, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. By April of this year - when gas prices were about $3.60 a gallon - the same household was buying gas at a rate of $3,196 a year, more than doubling consumption in dollar terms in less than five years.

    In March, Americans drove 11 billion fewer miles on public roads than in the same month the previous year, a 4.3 percent decrease. It was the sharpest one-month drop since the Federal Highway Administration began keeping records in 1942.

    Long before the recent spike in the price of energy, environmentalists decried suburban sprawl as a waste of land, energy, and tax dollars: Governments from Virginia to California have in recent decades lavished resources on building roads and schools for new subdivisions in the outer rings of development while skimping on maintaining facilities closer in. Many governments now focus on reviving their downtowns.

    In Denver - a classic American city with snarling freeway traffic across a vast acreage of strip malls, ranch houses and office parks - the city has seen an urban renaissance over the past decade.

    A planned $6.1 billion commuter rail system has been going in over the past four years, drawing people downtown without cars, while crystallizing swift sales of densely clustered condos near stations.

    Coors Field, the intimate, brick-fronted baseball stadium for the Colorado Rockies, has transformed the surrounding area from a desolate area into trendy Lower Downtown, a neighborhood of restaurants and microbreweries in restored warehouses. Along the Platte River, new condos set on a park strip offer an arresting tableau of glass, steel, and futuristic geometry, attracting throngs of buyers at rising prices.

    "This is a city where it's fun to be in the center," said Tim Burleigh, 56, who sold his house in the suburbs and now walks to Rockies games from his downtown condo.

    To Denver's Mayor John Hickenlooper, $4 gasoline offers a useful push forward on such plans.

    "It can be an accelerator," he said during an interview inside the imposing, column-fronted City Hall. "It's not going to be the dagger in the heart of suburban sprawl, but there's a certain inclination, a certain momentum back toward downtown."

    Elizabeth is the archetype of a once-rural community sucked into the orbit of the expanding metropolis, its ranchlands given over to porches, picket fences and two-car garages.

    Megan Werner, 39, a mother of three, moved here five years ago from a suburb closer to Denver, where the houses were packed together. She and her husband bought a home set on a 1.5 acre, or 0.61 hectare, lot in the Deer Creek Farm subdivision. The space justified her husband's 40-minute commute.

    "We wanted more than a postage stamp," she said, as her 5-year-old daughter walked barefoot across the driveway.

    It used to cost her about $30 to fill her Honda minivan with gas. Now, it's more like $50, and she coordinates her trips - shopping in town, combined with dance lessons for her kids. But she has no thoughts of leaving.

    "I can open up my door, and my kids can play," Werner said.

    For others, though, new math is altering the choice of where to live. Houses are sitting on the market longer than years past. "The pool of buyers is diminishing," said Jace Glick, a realtor with Re/Max Alliance in Parker, next to Elizabeth.

    Juanita Johnson and her husband, both retired Denver school teachers, moved here last August, after three decades in the city and a few years in the mountains. They bought a four-bedroom house for $415,000.

    Last winter, they spent $3,000 just on propane to heat the place, she said. Suddenly, this seems like a place to flee.

    "We'd sell if we could, but we'd lose our shirt," Johnson said. On a recent walk, she counted 15 "For Sale" signs. A similar home nearby is listed below $400,000.

    "I was so glad to get out of the city, the pollution the traffic, the crime," she said. Now, the suburbs seem mean. "I wouldn't do this again."

  • Detroit Values Plunge on Auto Woes! 18% from 2007.

    Home prices for much of America continued downward through April, erasing gains made since 2004, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices released this morning.

    The April S&P/Case-Shiller figures show that home prices declined by 15.3% in the composite of the 20 largest U.S. metropolitan areas and were down by 16.3% in the 10 largest metro areas.

    In April, metro Detroit saw home prices drop by 18% compared to the same month a year ago. Prices fell 1.9% since March.

    Metro Detroit remains the only metro area in the top 20 that has an index level under 100. Metro Detroit had a 93.79 index level in April, below the 100 set in 2000 as the baseline. That means home prices have not risen enough since 2000 to offset the current erosion.

    Detroit’s home prices have fallen off more than other Midwest cities. Cleveland had an index level of 109.55 in April, Minneapolis was at 139.19 and Chicago was at 150.44.

    “There might be some regional pockets of improvement, but on an annual basis the overall numbers continue to decline," said David M. Blitzer, chairman of the index for Standard & Poor's.

    Blitzer said that all 20 metro areas are showing declines.

    “If there is anywhere to look for possible improvement, it would be that the pace of monthly declines has slowed down for most of the markets.”

    Las Vegas and Miami continue to be the weakest markets in the past year with price declines of 26.8% and 26.7%, respectively. But both markets had fast price appreciation in 2004 and 2005 with annual growth rates of 53% and 32%, according to the index.

    Contact GRETA GUEST at gguest@freepress.com.

     
     
     
    Find this article at:
    http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080624/NEWS05/80624027
     
  • Case-Schiller Home-Price Index, suggest we may be nearing the bottom of the market in some areas!



    Print

     


    S&P/Case-Shiller Home Prices Fell 15.3% in April (Update2)

    By Shobhana Chandra

    June 24 (Bloomberg) -- Home prices in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas fell in April by the most on record, signaling the housing recession is far from over, a private survey showed today.

    The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index dropped 15.3 percent from a year earlier, less than forecast, after a 14.3 percent decline in March. The group began keeping year-over-year records in 2001. A separate report showed consumer confidence slumped this month to the lowest level in 16 years.

    Mortgage defaults and foreclosures are adding to the glut of properties on the market, while stricter loan rules are making it more difficult for prospective buyers to get financing. The prolonged real-estate slump, along with higher fuel prices and a shrinking job market, is taking a toll on consumers and the economy.

    ``There's such an excess of inventories that we certainly expect to see more price declines,'' said James O'Sullivan, a senior economist at UBS Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut. ``The economy is still weakening and housing still looks pretty weak.''

    The Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell to 50.4, the lowest level since February 1992, from a revised 58.1 in May. Consumers were the most pessimistic about the future in the 41-year history of the index. The decline raises the risk that Americans will retrench after spending their tax rebates.

    Month-Over-Month

    The report from S&P/Case-Shiller showed home prices decreased 1.4 percent in April from a month earlier after a 2.2 percent decline in March, the report showed. The figures aren't adjusted for seasonal effects, so economists prefer to focus on year-over-year changes instead of month to month.

    The index was forecast to fall 16 percent from a year earlier, after a previously reported 14.4 percent drop in the 12 months ended in March, according to the median forecast of 23 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Estimates ranged from declines of 15.4 percent to 17 percent.

    Nationally, home prices fell 4.6 percent in April from a year earlier, led by a 15 percent drop in states on the West Coast, the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise also reported today. The monthly house price index is down 4.6 percent from its peak in April 2007, Washington-based Ofheo said.

    The Ofheo price index covers the entire nation, while the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city gauge covers some areas that have shown the greatest fluctuation in values. The Ofheo measure also doesn't include so-called jumbo mortgages, which are loans that exceed federal limits. The maximum was raised on a temporary basis in February to as much as $729,750 in some areas.

    Declines Widespread

    All of the 20 cities in the S&P/Case-Shiller index showed a year-over-year decrease in prices for April, led by a 27 percent drop in both Las Vegas and Miami. Charlotte, North Carolina, showed a decline for the first time.

    One bright spot in the report was that more cities showed a gain in prices in April compared with the previous month. Houses in eight areas rose in value, compared with just two in March. Month-over-month gains were led by Cleveland and Dallas.

    There may be ``some surprises in the next few months that would indicate we are at or near a bottom in probably one-third to one-half of the country,'' Karl Case, an economics professor at Wellesley College, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television.

    Robert Shiller, chief economist at MacroMarkets LLC and a professor at Yale University, and Case created the home-price index based on research from the 1980s.

    Reports this week may reinforce the dim outlook for housing. Combined sales of new and existing homes in May probably were the third-lowest on record, according to the Bloomberg survey median.

    Sales May Fall

    New-home sales probably fell, approaching March's 17-year low, a report from the Commerce Department tomorrow may show. The National Association of Realtors may report the following day that purchases of existing houses, which account for 85 percent of the market, rose last month from a record low.

    Rising borrowing costs aren't helping. Fannie Mae, the largest mortgage buyer, last week cut its forecast for new and existing home sales this year as 30-year fixed mortgage rates jumped to an eight-month high.

    Banks repossessed twice as many homes in May as they did a year ago and foreclosure filings rose 48 percent, according to RealtyTrac Inc., a real estate database in Irvine, California.

    Homebuilders are reeling. Standard Pacific Corp., an Irvine, California-based homebuilder, last week said new home orders for April and May fell 12 percent from a year earlier, citing ``difficult housing conditions'' in most of its markets.

    To contact the reporter on this story: Shobhana Chandra in Washington at schandra1@bloomberg.net

    Last Updated: June 24, 2008 15:01 EDT

     



    Print

     


  • Chicago Market Stats As of End of May 2008 From May 2007.

    Please find attached in PDF.
  • Andersonville: A slice of life

    chicagotribune.com

    Andersonville: A slice of life

    Tucked away in the middle of everything, neighborhood grows at its own pace

    By Mary Lu Laffey

    Special to the Tribune

    June 13, 2008

    Christopher Watson started his search for a condo by reading a tourism guidebook about Chicago, one that included descriptions of its neighborhoods. He liked what was written about Andersonville. After a job interview at Northwestern University in Evanston, he hopped off the elevated train at Berwyn Avenue and took a walk.

    "What I read about Andersonville reminded me of my neighborhood in Boston. I thought it would be a fun place to live. It's walkable, friendly and has everything at your doorstep," he said. "That I discovered the area is beautiful was fortuitous."

    Watson, now Northwestern's dean of undergraduate admissions, found the two-bedroom, 1½ bath condo that he had dreamed about on a tree-lined street in Andersonville. "There were four that I looked at," he recalled, "but this building was owner-occupied and that meant a lot to me."

    For many people, Andersonville is a nebulous area, according to Maggie Finegan of Keller Williams Realty, who has lived and owned property in the neighborhood for over 15 years.

    There's East Andersonville, West Andersonville, South Andersonville and just plain Andersonville, she explained. Of the city's 77 official neighborhoods, none of the A'villes are listed. The city wraps it in with Edgewater and a little of Uptown community areas.

    The Andersonville Chamber of Commerce doesn't have that problem. It says the neighborhood is bounded by Victoria Street on the north, Ainslie Street on the south, Ravenswood Avenue on the west and Magnolia Avenue on the east. Some, however, say the southern boundary should be Lawrence Avenue.

    Within those shaded and historic blocks, condos are selling ahead of the curve, Finegan says, and backs up her statement with figures from the last six months.

    Condo sales

    "This is a strong condo market," she says, adding prices might be down less than 5 percent. That changes block-by-block and unit-to-unit. Of the 80 condos listed in the last six months, 52 are sold, 19 are spoken for or under contract.

    "That's an absorption rate of 12 [sold] per month for six months' worth of inventory," Finegan said. The most popular condos are one- or two-bedroom with an average asking price of $312,000 and an average selling price is $310,000. Most condos are carved from houses, rehabbed with a devotion to upgrades, most notably in the kitchens and bathrooms. Just like single-family houses, these two rooms are of paramount importance to buyers. Finegan says she can count on one hand the number of newly constructed condo buildings in this area. "People want vintage on the outside and modern amenities on the inside."

    Quality of life

    Buyers in Andersonville seek the quality of life here, Finegan said, referring to the live-and-let-live attitude of the diverse neighborhood. Andersonville was rejuvenated in the 1960s when the state and city officially recognized the contributions of the Swedish immigrants that settled in the area in the mid-1880s.

    Andersonville's Midsommarfest started about the same time, said Ellen Shepard, executive director of the Andersonville Chamber of Commerce. Sommarfest 2008 is set for Saturday and Sunday. Booths and stages line the middle of Clark Street, while keeping the sidewalks open.

    Shepard is also proud of the low crime rate in Andersonville, which is part of the 20th Police District. "The 20th district has the lowest crime rate in the city," she said.

    Clark Street is on a short list to be named a National Historic District, Shepard added. The application was signed by local and state officials and now awaits signature in Washington, D.C.

    The 1980s brought another wave of settlers as lesbians and gay residents moved north from Uptown. Today, Andersonville is home to one of the city's largest gay, ***, bisexual and transgender communities, which thrives in a harmonious mix of residents evidenced in the baby-buggy brigade, singles, partners and longtime residents mingling over coffee or sharing a bench on one of the landscaped corners.

    Diversity of businesses

    Clark Street boasts Swedish originals like Svea Restaurant, Simon's Tavern and the Swedish Bakery. The roots of it all are displayed at the Swedish American Museum Center (5211 N Clark. St.) and the Edgewater Historical Society (5258 N. Ashland Ave).

    Joel Berman remembers biking from Wilmette to this section of Clark Street as a teenager, returning again as a young adult on dates to then small hole-in-the-wall restaurants.

    Berman, a commercial architect with offices on Clark Street, now plays a hand in breathing new life into those holes-in-the-wall, helping to transform them into full-service restaurants and specialty stores. For the street's first wine bar, In Fine Spirits, the motto to "save as much as we can" came as much from the owner as Berman.

    A collaboration of business owners have joined the Andersonville Chamber and the Andersonville Development Corp. to form a green initiative for the area called Eco-Andersonville. Berman is chairman of the committee.

    Today's Andersonville boasts Middle Eastern, New Orleans and Columbian restaurants, Mexican and Italian bakeries, shops for designer clothing, books, art, furniture and a good cup of coffee.

    In the 16 blocks on Clark Street between Ainslie and Victoria Street, there are 68 restaurant/bars, 21 beauty/nail salons, 11 retail apparel stores, nine home furnishings stores, seven banks, 13 health care/fitness facilities, and eight office buildings. The predominant use of upper floors along Clark Street is residential.

    In the suburbs, retail may follow rooftops, but in the city and especially Andersonville, it is the reverse, says Jill Siegel, managing director of Andersonville Development Corp. Recent surveys reveal the top five reasons consumers shop Andersonville are its unique local businesses, neighborhood charm, the location, convenience and the diversity of the businesses.

    Thom Greene adds to that by lifting his hands with his thumbs together and raising his index fingers, saying, "It's all about scale." Greene, an architect with an office, home, and luxury apartment rentals in Andersonville, explains that the scale of the neighborhood makes people feel comfortable.

    "The scale gives Andersonville a village aspect—the street isn't that wide, the buildings are rarely over three stories. You almost could describe it as cozy," he said, sitting in his glass-fronted office on Berwyn. "It's really a Jimmy Stewart kind of place . . . a village in a great big, world-class city. Living in Andersonville, you get the best of both worlds," he said.

    An insider's view

    Marge Smith, 82, who has lived in a two-flat she owns since the 1940s, agrees. She recalls earlier locally owned shops that graced Clark Street, like Mrs. Hester's Hat Shop. "She designed and made her own hats, you know," she said. And other Swedish shops that thrived before the end of World War II, and the T-shirt shops that came and went.

    "I've been here through good and bad," she says. "It was always unique," she added. "And today it is so busy. Over on Clark Street, it is party, party, party."

    Maybe that's why it has become challenging to find a single-family home in the neighborhood. In the past six months, Finegan said three single-family homes were listed for sale. These include a Queen Anne with a double front porch at $849,000; an American four-square at $759,000;and another home listed at a little over $500,000.

    Still single-family homes regularly pop up for sale. Kathy Hoff and her husband, Andrew Degenholtz, bought their single-family home nearly a year ago. Other than rehabbing the bathroom on the first floor, it was a turnkey sale. They didn't have to be sold on the neighborhood; for four years they lived in a condo a block away.

    Degenholtz, a magazine marketing executive, and Hoff, an artist, looked at houses in other areas of the city and in Evanston. Nothing measured up until they walked into the foyer of their new home and saw their reflections in a 4-foot wide mirror framed in hand-carved wood that stretches from floor to ceiling. "The vintage details meant a lot," Hoff said. "So did seeing trees through the windows."

    For the couple's toddler, the accessibility of parks is a plus, said Degenholtz, as he ticked off playgrounds at Balmoral and Broadway, Magnolia and Bryn Mawr, and Ashland and Farragut.

    Andersonville has two elementary schools, Helen C. Peirce School of International Studies and Lyman Trumbull Elementary School. Finegan sees a growth area in West Andersonville for young families where the Rogers Park Montessori School relocated into a newly constructed facility on West Balmoral Avenue. "Child care is very important to young couples. The school is a big plus in an area that already has a big draw," she said.

    Many couples relocating to the A'villes are from Wrigleyville. "There's more available for your money in Andersonville," Finegan said.

    Single adults or couples without children are moving to the fringes of South Andersonville, drawn by access to Metra's Ravenswood stop. The Union Pacific north line gets commuters to the Ogilvie Transportation Center in the West Loop in 14 minutes.

    A few years ago, Realtors didn't receive that many calls requesting Andersonville. Today that is a different story. "Now Andersonville is a destination," Finegan said.

     

    =0)document.write(unescape('%3C')+'\!-'+'-') //--> DM_addEncToLoc("Site", (s.server)); DM_addEncToLoc("channel", (s.channel)); DM_addEncToLoc("keyword", (s.prop3)); DM_cat(s.hier1); DM_tag();
  • Creative Financing when Loans are Few and Far Between

    What's old is new again in buying

    Rent-to-own, forecasting just a few of the tricks

    By Marilyn Kennedy Melia

    Special to the Tribune

    June 15, 2008

    Slow real estate market? Not if you're talking about how homes deals are struck with changes fast and furious.

    Here's what to expect in summer 2008:

    •Certain loans will require a second look in Cook County.

    No one would take a loan they soon would not be able to afford unless they didn't know what they were getting into, according to Illinois lawmakers, who've backed a law that will require first-time buyers and all refinancers in Cook County to get counseling before signing up for a loan with certain features.

    Starting July 1, every mortgage closed and recorded in Cook County must carry a "certificate of exemption" or a "certificate of compliance." The exemption signifies that the mortgage carries no features that require counseling: three-year adjustables and the like. Certificates of exemption are also attached to mortgages made by banks or credit unions not regulated by Illinois. Certificates of compliance indicate that the borrower was counseled on his loan and wants to take it. It's up to the firm conducting the closing—usually a title company—to ensure that the appropriate certificate is attached to the mortgage when it's recorded.

    David Huffman, senior vice president at Attorneys Title Guaranty Fund in Chicago, says the typical hour and a half closing will be longer—15 minutes to an hour more—since the title company must ensure the new paperwork and data are in order. Some closings may even be canceled, says Huffman, because the law requires that the fees and interest rate quoted when the borrower made the application not be significantly higher at closing.

    •"No, it's not worth that much," lenders can declare.

    It doesn't matter whether buyers and sellers have agreed on a price or whether a certified appraiser's report confirms that the purchase amount matches the value of a home, the companies extending the loan can turn thumbs down on that number. That's most likely to happen if a home is more expensive than others in the immediate neighborhood or if the appraiser couldn't find at least very similar homes that sold in the last six months for that price, notes Charles Utlak, owner of Real Estate Resource Home Loans, Orland Park.

    When borrowers are making a substantial down payment—say 20 percent—the lenders' opinion of value may not matter. But in other cases, borrowers may have to re-apply with other lenders, a process that can drag out the time until closing. "Sometimes we send it out to two or three other lenders. Values are opinions, and one lender can differ from another," adds Utlak.

    •"I'd like to buy your house … some day."

    The term, "lease-to-purchase option," is making a modest comeback after nearly disappearing. Sellers running out of patience—and money—waiting for a buyer are inclined to consider it, says Margie Thorgesen, president of the Aurora Tri-County Association of Realtors. These options can be structured differently, with the exact terms worked out between the parties. But basically, someone can rent for a term and then have the opportunity to purchase the home at a set price. Some lease-option agreements allow part of the rent to be used as a down payment.

    Risks exist for sellers and renters. Home prices could rebound, putting the agreed upon sale price below market. The owner could go into foreclosure, costing the renter his dwelling. Though not widespread, some listings indicate a seller will consider this, says Sandra Workman, president of the Kankakee County Association of Realtors.

    •A view of tomorrow.

    Buyers stall, lenders pull back and sellers can't plan. In cooperation with the Illinois Association of Realtors, the Regional Economics Applications Laboratory at the University of Illinois recently began using regional economic data to forecast the market about a month out, says REAL director Geoffrey Hewings. After slight price increases in May and June, prices will decline slightly in July—about 2 percent—in the Chicago area, says Hewings. That would put the median price in July at $254,397, down from $256,346 in June.

    The June issue of Money magazine ventures further, predicting a 6.8 price decline in Chicago from through May 2009, and a 0.8 percent decline in Lake County home prices in the period.

    Address questions to Financing, Chicago Tribune, Chicago Homes, 435 N. Michigan Ave., 4th Floor, Chicago, IL 60611. You may also e-mail realestate@tribune.com. Answers will be supplied only through the newspaper.

    =0)document.write(unescape('%3C')+'\!-'+'-') //--> DM_addEncToLoc("Site", (s.server)); DM_addEncToLoc("channel", (s.channel)); DM_addEncToLoc("keyword", (s.prop3)); DM_cat(s.hier1); DM_tag();
  • Home-equity data not as bleak as it may seem

    Home-equity data not as bleak as it may seem

    Many U.S. markets relatively unscathed

    Washington Post Writers Group

    June 15, 2008

      on error resume next r0=IsObject(CreateObject("ShockwaveFlash.ShockwaveFlash.5")) if(r0



    WASHINGTON—As a home owner, seller or buyer, what should you make of the Federal Reserve's latest bombshell report on Americans' home-equity positions?

    Panic? Mild concern? No big deal?

    The dollar losses involved were sobering. On a national basis, they document the personal financial impacts of declining home prices, especially in the frothiest boom markets of California, Florida, the Middle Atlantic states and New England.

    But it's important to keep the Fed's numbers in perspective. They may not ring true in your housing situation, neighborhood or where you want to live.

    With that in mind, here's a look at the home equity estimates assembled by the Fed, released this month:

    • Equity holdings on a national basis got creamed in the last year. Homeowners lost an estimated $879.6 billion in net equity wealth—that's the difference between the market values of their houses and their mortgage debt. In the first quarter of this year alone, estimated national equity losses totaled $399.1 billion.

    •Americans' equity in their homes represented just 46.2 percent of their properties' market values in the first quarter of this year. Put another way, total mortgage debt exceeded owners' equity and constituted almost 54 percent of total home values.

    The Fed's estimate of a nearly $880 billion loss of home-equity may strike you as shocking, but keep that number in recent perspective. Depending on where you live or own property, these wild gyrations of growth shrinkage may not mean a lot.

    Listen to Jay Brinkmann, vice president for research and economics at the Mortgage Bankers Association and an expert on real estate cycles.

    "I don't think numbers like an $880 billion equity loss are all that meaningful for most individual homeowners," he said. "When you look at home-price data over the last five years, you find that large parts of the country never got caught up" in the boom and bust.

    "The Fed's [equity decline] numbers for the country as a whole are really being dragged down disproportionately by the big drops in prices in California, Florida and a handful of other states," said Brinkmann. "Most markets haven't been hit anywhere near as hard."

    The latest home-price-index report by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, backs Brinkmann. The U.S. watchdog of property value movements found that even in the current down cycle, 56 percent of the 292 metropolitan areas it surveyed showed positive—though often small—price gains in the first quarter. OFHEO's data exclude jumbo loans, those more than $417,000, and most subprime loans.

    Some markets are appreciating strongly, such as Austin, Texas (up 7.7 percent in the last 12 months), Grand Junction, Colo. (up 9.1 percent), Charlotte, N.C. (up 6.2 percent) and Provo, Utah (up 6.8 percent).

    But even in areas with steep price declines, the five-year net equity gains are still significant. If you bought a house at the peak of the cycle in dozens of high-froth local markets—between 2004 and 2006—"you probably have seen some significant declines" in your equity, says David M. Berson, chief economist for mortgage insurer PMI Group Inc. "But if you bought a few years earlier, you're still probably well ahead of the game."

    Five-year data from OFHEO suggest that's correct. Houses in Naples, Fla., lost 18.7 percent last year, but are still up a net 61 percent in the last five. Riverside-San Bernadino, Calif., houses lost 13.8 percent last year, but are still up a net 71.5 percent since 2003. Metro Washington, D.C., houses lost an average 5.1 percent last year, but have gained a net 68 percent the last five.

    Bottom line: National numbers get all the attention. But unless you bought at the peak of the boom in a highly volatile area using a toxic mortgage, things probably are nowhere near that grim.



    Contact Kenneth Harney by e-mail at realestate@ tribune.com or send letters to: Kenneth R. Harney, Chicago Tribune, Chicago Homes, 435 N. Michigan Ave., Chicago IL 60611. Sorry, he cannot make personal replies. Answers will be supplied only through the newspaper.



    =0)document.write(unescape('%3C')+'\!-'+'-') //--> DM_addEncToLoc("Site", (s.server)); DM_addEncToLoc("channel", (s.channel)); DM_addEncToLoc("keyword", (s.prop3)); DM_cat(s.hier1); DM_tag();